Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-02-01 0.010327 0.011988 0.013821 0.015993 0.018497 0.021291 0.024646
2026-02-08 0.007674 0.009769 0.012294 0.015556 0.019656 0.024635 0.031137
2026-02-15 0.005867 0.008092 0.010985 0.015011 0.020462 0.027577 0.037562
2026-02-22 0.004957 0.007336 0.010639 0.015546 0.022631 0.032475 0.047174
2026-03-01 0.004108 0.006476 0.009968 0.015464 0.023873 0.036223 0.055709
2026-03-08 0.003339 0.005579 0.009065 0.014853 0.024184 0.038596 0.062498
2026-03-15 0.002838 0.005000 0.008537 0.014698 0.025116 0.041958 0.071173
2026-03-22 0.002602 0.004811 0.008591 0.015471 0.027617 0.048075 0.085031
2026-03-29 0.002344 0.004537 0.008451 0.015873 0.029515 0.053395 0.098194
2026-04-05 0.002011 0.004067 0.007889 0.015430 0.029837 0.056001 0.106887
2026-04-12 0.001762 0.003714 0.007486 0.015211 0.030516 0.059285 0.117165
2026-04-19 0.001525 0.003345 0.006996 0.014746 0.030644 0.061533 0.125721
2026-04-26 0.001334 0.003045 0.006608 0.014443 0.031083 0.064488 0.136162
2026-05-03 0.001184 0.002808 0.006312 0.014289 0.031800 0.068077 0.148331
2026-05-10 0.001036 0.002552 0.005939 0.013910 0.031989 0.070602 0.158610
2026-05-17 0.000976 0.002492 0.005987 0.014474 0.034304 0.077867 0.179912
2026-05-24 0.000882 0.002332 0.005786 0.014433 0.035249 0.082275 0.195469
2026-05-31 0.000769 0.002105 0.005392 0.013879 0.034925 0.083812 0.204706
2026-06-07 0.000694 0.001963 0.005183 0.013743 0.035578 0.087648 0.219748
2026-06-14 0.000670 0.001956 0.005311 0.014473 0.038453 0.097035 0.249170
2026-06-21 0.000631 0.001900 0.005304 0.014852 0.040492 0.104647 0.275160
2026-06-28 0.000562 0.001745 0.005014 0.014438 0.040421 0.107048 0.288386
2026-07-05 0.000509 0.001629 0.004811 0.014233 0.040878 0.110830 0.305610